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Importance Malignancy prediction models based on participant-related characteristics and imaging parameters from low-dose computed tomography (CT) may improve decision-making regarding nodule management and diagnosis in lung cancer screening. Objective To externally validate 5 malignancy prediction models that were developed in screening settings, compared with 3 models that were developed in clinical settings, in terms of discrimination and absolute risk calibration among participants in the German Lung Cancer Screening Intervention trial. Design, Setting, and Participants In this population-based diagnostic study, malignancy probabilities were estimated by applying 8 prediction models to data from 1159 participants in the intervention arm of the Lung Cancer Screening Intervention trial, a randomized clinical trial conducted from October 23, 2007, to April 30, 2016, with ongoing follow-up. This analysis considers end points up to 1 year after individuals' last screening visit. Inclusion criteria for particip an AUC of 0.89 (95% CI, 0.82-0.97) for the Mayo Clinic model. Conclusions and Relevance This diagnostic study found that PanCan models showed excellent discrimination and calibration in prevalence screenings, confirming their ability to improve nodule management in screening settings, although calibration to nodules detected in follow-up scans should be improved. The models developed by the Mayo Clinic, Peking University People's Hospital, Department of Veterans Affairs, and UK Lung Cancer Screening Trial did not perform as well.Importance Optimal blood pressure (BP) management in children with chronic kidney disease (CKD) slows progression to end-stage renal disease. Daporinad Studies often base progression risk on a single baseline BP measurement, which may underestimate risk. Objective To determine whether time-varying BP measurements are associated with a higher risk of progression of CKD than baseline BP measurements. Design, Setting, and Participants The ongoing longitudinal, prospective cohort study Chronic Kidney Disease in Children (CKID) recruited children from January 19, 2005, through March 19, 2014, from pediatric nephrology centers across North America, with data collected at annual study visits. Participants included children aged 1 to 16 years with a diagnosis of CKD and a glomerular filtration rate (GFR) of 30 to 90 mL/min/1.73 m2. Data were analyzed from February 11, 2005, through February 13, 2018. Exposures Office BP measurement classified as less than 50th percentile, 50th to less than 90th percentile, or at least 90th pery, elevated time-varying BP measurements were associated with a greater risk of CKD progression compared with baseline BP measurement. This finding suggests that previous studies using only baseline BP likely underestimated the association between BP and CKD progression.Importance Improvement of clinician understanding of acceptable deformity in pediatric distal radius fractures is needed. Objective To assess how often children younger than 10 years undergo a potentially unnecessary closed reduction using procedural sedation in the emergency department for distal radial metaphyseal fracture and the associated cost implications for these reduction procedures. Design, Setting, and Participants This retrospective cross-sectional study included 258 consecutive children younger than 10 years who presented to a single, level I, pediatric emergency department and who had a distal radius fracture with or without ulna involvement between January 1, 2016, and December 31, 2017. Reductions were deemed to be potentially unnecessary if the coronal and sagittal plane angulation of the radius bone measured less than 20° and shortening measured less than 1 cm on initial injury radiographs. Use of procedural sedation or transfer status to another facility was noted if present. Statistical anon was 30.6° (10.3°) compared with 13.9° (4.5°) for those unnecessarily reduced (P less then .001). Patients who were transfers from other facilities were more than twice as likely to undergo a potentially unnecessary reduction (odds ratio, 2.3; 95% CI, 1.1-5.0; P = .03). Conclusions and Relevance The findings suggest that improved awareness of these acceptable deformities in young children may be associated with limiting the number of children requiring reduction with sedation, improving emergency department efficiency, and substantially reducing health care costs.Importance The presence of high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) has been associated with a favorable outcome in Barrett high-grade dysplasia (HGD) and esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). Nevertheless, the prognostic significance of other HPV-related biomarkers (ie, retinoblastoma protein [pRb], cyclin D1 [CD1], minichromosome maintenance protein [MCM2] and Ki-67) is unknown. Objective To examine the association between HPV-related biomarkers and survival in adult patients with Barrett HGD and EAC. Design, Setting, and Participants This retrospective case-control study examined the hypothesis that the HPV-related cell cycle markers (pRb, CD1, and Ki-67) and the viral surrogate marker (MCM2) may be associated with a favorable prognosis in Barrett HGD and EAC. Pretreatment biopsies were used for HPV DNA determination via polymerase chain reaction and immunohistochemistry for the HPV-related biomarkers. Recruitment of patients occurred in secondary and tertiary referral centers, with 151 patients assessed for eligiby, HPV-positive, low-expression CD1 was associated with a significantly favorable disease-free survival (HR, 0.26; 95% CI, 0.09-0.76; adjusted P = .01), as was HPV-positive, high-expression MCM2 (HR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.09-0.78; adjusted P = .02). In regard to overall survival, HPV was significantly associated only with low CD1 (HR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.15-0.94; adjusted P = .04). Conclusions and Relevance This study's findings suggest that low expression of CD1 appears to be an independent prognostic marker in Barrett HGD and EAC. Human papillomavirus positivity in combination with pRb, CD1, MCM2, and Ki-67 was associated with a survival benefit in esophageal tumors. These findings suggest the possibility of personalization of therapy for Barrett HGD and EAC based on viral status.